Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Now that I have declared the primary over, i will tell you the exact outcome of the general election

Romney 323 electoral votes
Obama 215 electoral votes

Romney in a landslide.  Actually, it is Gallup's prediction, but it seems about right.

It turns out there is one really good predictor of how a state will vote.  If a sitting President has a higher approval rating than disapproval rating, the state almost always goes for him.  Conversely, if the disapproval is higher than the approval, it votes against him.  So there you go.  Gallup says it.  I say it.  You can pretty much turn off all the talking heads right now and turn the back on after the polls close on November 6 and listen President elect Romney give his speech.


Borepatch said...

Agree that the primary is over. Disagree on the general. In fact, it will be the opposite. Post tomorrow AM on why.

But Romney's not just going to lose, he's going to take down the GOP in the House and the Senate as well.

I have numbers.

Borepatch said...

My post is here.

Quizikle said...

Even if true; I predict 2013 won't be over before the "Oh, my God, what did we do?" feeling sets in.

Any chance Nunov A Bove will win?