Romney 323 electoral votes
Obama 215 electoral votes
Romney in a landslide. Actually, it is Gallup's prediction, but it seems about right.
It turns out there is one really good predictor of how a state will vote. If a sitting President has a higher approval rating than disapproval rating, the state almost always goes for him. Conversely, if the disapproval is higher than the approval, it votes against him. So there you go. Gallup says it. I say it. You can pretty much turn off all the talking heads right now and turn the back on after the polls close on November 6 and listen President elect Romney give his speech.